Saddleback College How Is Donald Trump Doing in The Polls 2020 Election Forecast

Question Description

Your 2020 Election Forecast

Overview

Election day is November 3rd, 2020. Writing this essay will convey an understanding of what criteria goes into a successful campaign for President & how to predict the outcome of an election.

The Questions

Who will win the 2020 election? What criteria will go into your forecast? (for example – Does a candidate’s debate performance matter? Polls? Whether or not the country is at war? etc.)

Research can go in a number of ways:
- Consider using Saddleback’s Article DatabasesLinks to an external site. or Google Scholar (Links to an external site.) and find articles on election forecasting.
- News outlets such as Fivethirtyeight or The Economist may offer an explanation of what will happen in the current election based on their own criteria.
- A minimum of 3 citations is needed.
- Visit the Saddleback Writing and Citing Resources PageLinks to an external site. for more information on citations.

Forecasting Rubric

Criteria

Ratings

This criterion is linked to a Learning OutcomeIntroductory Paragraph & ThesisPaper provides a thesis statement in the introductory paragraph.

Way to go!

Thesis answers the question “Who will win the 2020 election and why?” and offers a brief preview of the rest of the paper.

Almost there!

Thesis statement appears in the paper, but not in the intro paragraph.

Incomplete

Thesis statement is absent from the paper.

This criterion is linked to a Learning OutcomeBody ParagraphsBody paragraphs provide the supporting statements to your prediction.

Way to go!

Body paragraphs are organized by topic, demonstrating a clear understanding of each criteria belongs in a forecast or not.

Almost there!

Body paragraphs lack flow, but still contain information that supports the thesis.

Incomplete

Body Paragraphs are non-existent, unclear, or do not provide any information that supports the thesis.

This criterion is linked to a Learning OutcomeConcluding ParagraphConcluding paragraphs offer the reader a re-cap of the paper and an opportunity for further discussion.

Way to go!

Concluding paragraph contains all of the following elements: a. restates the thesis statement, b. summarizes main points from body paragraphs, and c. proposes a new research question that arises from your current research.

Almost there!

Concluding paragraph is missing one or more of the following elements: a. restates the thesis statement, b. summarizes main points from body paragraphs, and c. proposes a new research question that arises from your current research.

Incomplete

Concluding paragraph not present or is missing most elements needed.

This criterion is linked to a Learning OutcomeInclusion of ResearchResearch must be evident in your analysis.

Way to go!

Contains at least three sources from the internet and are incorporated seamlessly into your paper in the appropriate body paragraphs.

Almost there!

Contains fewer than 3 researched citations, or the research does not tie-in to the overall scope of the paper.

Incomplete

Research not present.

This criterion is linked to a Learning OutcomeWorks Cited PageWorks must be cited in MLA or APA format.

Way to go!

Works cited page contains citations for every source included in the paper (quotes, summarizations, statistics, etc.) with proper MLA or APA formatting.

Almost there!

Research is cited, but is not consistent with MLA or APA Guidelines. (Ex. Not on its own page, lacks proper indentation, etc.)

Incomplete

No citations found, or pitations present, but does not adhere to MLA or APA Format (ex. providing URL’s to a source without author or title information, etc.)

This criterion is linked to a Learning OutcomePage LengthResearch is presented in an appropriate amount of pages.

Way to go!

Falls within 3-5 page range. Double spaced.

Almost there!

Below 3 pages or more than 5 pages. Falls within 3-5 page range. Double spaced.

Incomplete

Extremely short or long paper.

This criterion is linked to a Learning OutcomeSpelling & GrammarProper attention is paid to spelling & grammar in order to convey clarity.

Way to go!

Proofreading is evident. Contains virtually no spelling or grammar mistakes.

Almost there!

Some spelling or grammar mistakes.

Incomplete

Demonstrates little care in presentation. Proofreading not evident. Spelling and grammar errors are found in many areas of the paper.

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